What Will Be the Total exaFLOPS of All TOP500 Supercomputers by June, 2025?

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Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee Maker Subsidy
2022-09-01 2025-06-30 USD 0.075% -0.025%

Rules

This market will resolve positively based on the data on the projected performance development of all TOP500 Supercomputers from the June 2025 release of the TOP500 list edition.

The TOP500 project collects and ranks system performance metrics of the most powerful non-distributed computer systems in the world. The project was started in 1993 and publishes an updated list of the supercomputers twice a year. The first of these updates always coincides with the International Supercomputing Conference in June, and the second is presented at the ACM/IEEE Supercomputing Conference in November.

The TOP500 ranks high-performance computing (HPC) by recording how fast a computer system solves a dense n by n system of linear equations in double precision (64 bits) arithmetic on distributed-memory computers (TOP500, 2019). This is an implementation of the High Performance Computing Linpack Benchmark.

Historical data can be found here. In June 2022, the summed performance of all TOP500 supercomputers stood at 4.4 exaFLOPS. Market via Hypermind

* There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that is matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full taker fee schedule is here.  End Date: 06/30/2025